Inferior vena cava peak velocity versus collapsibility index to predict volume status in patients with gastrointestinal bleeding: A pilot study
Onur Cem Büyüktaş1
, Yunus Emre Özlüer2
, Ahmet Melih Savaş2
, Ertuğ Dinçer3
1Department of Emergency Medicine, Erzurum City Hospital, Erzurum, Türkiye
2Department of Emergency Medicine, Aydin Adnan Menderes University Faculty of Medicine, Aydin, Türkiye
3Department of Emergency Medicine, Bilecik Training and Research Hospital, Bilecik, Türkiye
Keywords: Continuous wave Doppler, inferior vena cava, peak velocity, stroke volume variation, volume status
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: Patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) with hemorrhagic shock secondary to acute gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding represent a substantial proportion of the critically ill population. Accurate evaluation of intravascular volume status in these patients is crucial for guiding fluid resuscitation. However, the limitations of invasive methods and inferior vena cava (IVC) diameter/collapsibility measurements in assessing intravascular volume have been widely discussed in the literature. Despite their validation, noninvasive hemodynamic monitoring techniques remain underutilized in the ED. Therefore, the present study aimed to investigate the predictive value of IVC blood flow velocity measured by Doppler ultrasonography in intravascular volume assessment and to compare it with the IVC collapsibility index. Electrical velocity measurement was used as a surrogate marker of volume deficit.
METHODS: Eighteen patients presenting with a preliminary diagnosis of acute GI bleeding were included in the study. The study population consisted solely of patients with suspected hypovolemia; therefore, no normovolemic control group was included in the study. Demographic, vital, and laboratory data were recorded, along with IVC diameter, collapsibility, IVC peak velocity measured by continuous wave Doppler, and noninvasive hemodynamic monitoring parameters at admission, at the 30th and 60th min, and immediately after completion of fluid replacement. All data were subjected to statistical analysis.
RESULTS: A significant correlation was observed between initial IVC peak velocity and stroke volume variation at admission (P = 0.009). The measurement demonstrated a specificity of 100% and a sensitivity of 84%, although the confidence interval was wide due to the small number of patients without volume deficit. No statistically significant differences were detected at the other time points. This can be explained by the ongoing bleeding and the lack of a valid gold standard.
CONCLUSION: Measurement of IVC peak velocity was found to be a significant predictor of hypovolemia, although it showed limited utility for volume monitoring. Furthermore, it demonstrated superior performance compared to IVC diameter and collapsibility measurements. However, the study does not evaluate its ability to distinguish hypovolemia from true normovolemia.
Introduction
Early diagnosis and effective fluid replacement during acute hemorrhage are crucial for reducing mortality and morbidity. Inadequate management of hypovolemic shock can result in hypoperfusion and multiple organ dysfunction. Therefore, accurate and timely evaluation of the adequacy of fluid resuscitation is essential for successful treatment. A significant proportion of patients presenting to the emergency department (ED) are in hypovolemic shock. Among this critical group, gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding is one of the most frequently encountered conditions, often leading to hemorrhagic shock due to acute blood loss.[1-4]
In the contemporary management of hemorrhagic shock, ultrasonographic methods are widely used alongside physical examination and laboratory testing. However, the reliability of ultrasonographic measurements may be compromised in certain clinical conditions, such as cardiac arrhythmias, age related changes in vascular elasticity, heart failure, valvular pathologies, and pregnancy, which involve hormonal alterations. Furthermore, the short intravascular half life of crystalloid fluids presents another significant challenge that limits the effectiveness of fluid resuscitation.[5-12]
Therefore, investigating new, practical, and reliable noninvasive methods for assessing fluid resuscitation has become a priority in both clinical practice and current literature. In emergency medicine, there is an increasing demand for methods that can be rapidly applied without compromising patient comfort. To address this need, several devices based on varying principles have been developed to facilitate non invasive measurements. Compared to invasive techniques, noninvasive methods are advantageous in emergency settings due to their rapid applicability, lack of complication risk, and operator independence. Among these devices, those utilizing electrovelocimetry to measure parameters such as cardiac output (CO), stroke volume (SV), SV variation (SVV), and pulse pressure variation (PPV) are now widely employed for evaluating fluid responsiveness. The ICON device (Osypka Medical), used in our study, is one of the validated instruments in this category.[13-17]
IVC diameter and collapsibility are widely used indicators but have significant limitations. Although IVC diameter and collapsibility index have been employed for many years to assess fluid responsiveness, it is now recognized that these measurements yield reliable results only in patients with hypovolemia. In contrast, measuring blood flow velocity (peak velocity) across the IVC using Doppler ultrasonography (US) provides a more dynamic hemodynamic parameter, capable of reflecting intravascular volume changes in real time. However, very few studies have evaluated IVC blood flow velocity as a tool for assessing patients’ volume status. The pilot study conducted by Biassucci et al. served as a reference point for the design of our study.[18,19]
In our study, we preferred CW Doppler over pulse wave (PW) Doppler for a more accurate detection of subtle changes in venous flow velocity. While PW Doppler excels in distinguishing depth and low flow velocities, we chose CW Doppler due to the nonpulsatile nature of venous flow and the potential for cursor misalignment with respiratory effort. In addition, when the IVC is nearly or completely collapsed, using PW Doppler becomes more challenging. By performing all measurements from the subxiphoid region, we aimed to minimize the limitations of CW Doppler in deeper tissues. The Diagnostic Ultrasound, 6th Edition, edited by Rumack CM and Levine D, provided guidance for this methodological choice.[20]
In this study, we aimed to evaluate the predictive value of peak blood flow velocity across the IVC, measured by US, in assessing intravascular volume status and to compare it with the IVC collapsibility index. We hypothesized that IVC peak velocity would outperform the IVC collapsibility index in predicting hypovolemia.
Material and Methods
Study setting
This single center, prospective, observational cohort study was conducted at the Department of Emergency Medicine, Aydın Adnan Menderes University Hospital, between October 15, 2023, and April 15, 2024.
The study was approved by the Ethics Committee of Aydın Adnan Menderes University Faculty of Medicine (Date: October 11, 2023, Decision No: 2023/174) and was supported by the Adnan Menderes University Scientific Research Projects Coordination Unit (Project No: TPF23052). Written informed consent was obtained from all participants through face to face interviews.
Study population
Acute GI bleeding was selected as the model of acute hemorrhage for this study. This choice was made because GI bleeding cases are frequently encountered in the ED, represent a patient group for whom diagnosis and management are time critical, and allow for direct monitoring of fluid responsiveness.
Patients over 18 years of age presenting to the ED with suspected hypovolemic shock secondary to acute hemorrhage from GI bleeding were included in the study. The study included only patients with suspected hypovolemia due to acute GI bleeding; therefore, no normovolemic control group was included in the study. Exclusion criteria included age under 18 years, pregnancy, known heart failure (clinical history, patients with ejection fraction [EF] below 45% and tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion [TAPSE] <17 mm), atrial fibrillation/flutter, tricuspid regurgitation (minimal and Grade 1 tricuspid regurgitation are included), peripheral vascular disease, and portal vein thrombosis (because we anticipate that this will affect the volume of the IVC). The diagnosis of GI bleeding was confirmed endoscopically in all included cases. Upper/lower GI source differentiation and hemoglobin levels were not used as inclusion or exclusion criteria, as they were not relevant to the primary objective of dynamic volume status assessment. Patient management was performed by primary physicians; no additional laboratory tests were obtained, and no interventions were made regarding treatment during the study.
Data collection and ultrasonographic measurements
At baseline, the shock index was assessed in the enrolled patients. Arterial blood gas parameters, vital signs (temperature, heart rate, blood pressure, and oxygen saturation), anthropometric measurements (height, weight, and body mass index), and Glasgow Coma Scale scores were recorded.
To determine the eligibility criteria, left ventricular EF, TAPSE, and the presence of tricuspid regurgitation were evaluated using parasternal long axis, parasternal short axis, and apical four chamber views.
Ultrasonographic measurements were performed by two operators: the principal investigator, a faculty member, and a 4th year emergency medicine resident. The principal investigator was a certified WINFOCUS instructor in Türkiye, whereas the resident had completed both basic and advanced US training provided by the Emergency Medicine Association of Türkiye. Before the study, the resident underwent 4 h of didactic training conducted by the principal investigator and completed supervised measurements on 10 patients. Although both operators received standardized training, no formal interobserver reliability analysis was conducted.
Ultrasonographic measurements were conducted using a Sonosite Edge II system (FUJIFILM, Sonosite, Inc.) with a sector probe. IVC measurements were repeated at admission, 30 min, 60 min, and postfluid replacement. All images were recorded in video format and stored in the device memory [Supplementary Figure 1].
Inferior vena cava collapsibility measurement
Measurements were taken in the supine position from the subxiphoid region using a sector probe, approximately 2 cm proximal to the atriocaval junction. M mode was used, and recordings were obtained for at least three respiratory cycles.
Blood flow velocity across inferior vena cava
In the supine position, peak velocity was measured using continuous wave (CW) Doppler mode with a sector probe, 2 cm proximal to the atriocaval junction, for at least three respiratory cycles. The average of the measured values was recorded. Respiratory effort was not quantitatively standardized; however, operators instructed patients to maintain normal tidal breathing to reduce variability.
In this study, the ICON device (Osypka Medical GmbH, Berlin, Germany), which is based on the principle of noninvasive electrical velocity measurement, was used as a surrogate reference test, although it is not a gold standard method. Parameters including CO, SV, SVV, PPV, corrected flow time (FTc), thoracic fluid content (TFC), stroke index and systemic vascular resistance (SVR) were measured at admission, at the 30th and 60th min of blood product replacement, and immediately after completion of the transfusion. No clinical outcome data (intensive care unit admission, mortality, or rebleeding) were collected, as the study focused exclusively on early hemodynamic measurements.
Statistical analysis
Data were analyzed using Jamovi for Windows version 2.4.8. Categorical variables are expressed as n (%). Normally distributed numerical variables are presented as mean ± standard deviation, whereas nonnormally interquartile distributed numerical variables are reported as median with interquartile range. Comparisons between categorical variables were performed using the Chi square test. When any expected cell count is under five or more than 20% of cells have expected counts below five, Fisher’s exact test is used. For multiple comparisons of continuous variables, repeated measures ANOVA or the Friedman test was applied. Post hoc analyses of continuous variables were conducted using the Greenhouse Geisser correction, Tukey’s post hoc test, or the Durbin Conover test. To determine the predictive value of ultrasonographic measurements in identifying hypovolemia, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed, and the area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value (NPV) were calculated. Results were given with 95% confidence interval (CI), and P values. P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.
Results
Eighteen patients were included in the study, comprising 9 (50%) females and 9 (50%) males [Table 1 and Figure 1]. The statistical analyses of these data are presented in tables along with their corresponding descriptions. All patients were clinically considered to have potential intravascular volume loss due to active GI bleeding and required erythrocyte suspension transfusion. Details of volume replacement therapy, urine output, and cumulative fluid balance are presented in Table 2.
According to our surrogate reference test (SVV), 13 patients (72.2%) had a volume deficit, whereas 5 patients (27.8%) did not. In patients with volume deficit, the IVC peak velocity was 71 ± 11.6 cm/s, compared to 54.5 ± 6.21 cm/s in patients without a volume deficit (P = 0.009). Conversely, based on initial IVC ultrasonographic measurements, 13patients (72.2%) were identified as hypovolemic, whereas 5 patients (27.8%) were not. The IVC peak velocity in hypovolemic patients was 68.1 ± 12.9 cm/s, whereas in nonhypovolemic patients, it was 62.0 ± 12.3 cm/s (P = 0.377).
ROC analysis was performed to determine the predictive value of admission IVC peak velocity in identifying volume deficit[Figure 2]. According to this analysis, when an admission IVC peak velocity threshold of 64.2 cm/s was applied, the sensitivity for predicting volume deficit was 84.6% (95% CI: 54.55-98.08), specificity was 100% (95% CI: 42.82-100), positive predictive value was 100%, NPV was 71.4% (95% CI: 41.13-89.95), and accuracy was 88.9% (95% CI: 65.29-96.63), AUC was 0.900.
IVC peak velocity values obtained at 30 min, 60 min, and immediately after transfusion did not show statistically significant differences between volume deficient and non volume deficit groups (all P > 0.05). Similarly, serial measurements of IVC diameter, collapsibility, and electrovelocimetric parameters (including SVV, FTc, TFC, SV, CO, and CI) did not demonstrate meaningful changes over time [Table 3].
At admission, comparison of IVC and SVV groups (volume deficit vs. no volume deficit) revealed no significant difference (P = 0.268) [Table 4].
Discussion
In our pilot study, we found that IVC peak velocity showed promise in outperforming the IVC collapsibility index in predicting volume deficit. Considering the measurement methods mentioned in the recent literature, we investigated the feasibility of measuring blood flow velocity across the IVC using CW Doppler as an alternative method.[21,22]
Among the 18 patients included in this study, a comparison of admission IVC peak velocity values with admission SVV values, considered the surrogate reference test, revealed a statistically significant correlation. According to the ROC analysis results, admission IVC peak velocity achieved high sensitivity (84.6%) and specificity (100%) in predicting volume deficit. However, the wide CI reflects the small number of patients (n = 5) in the non volume deficit group, and the specificity estimate should be interpreted with caution.
The clinical significance of IVC peak velocity in predicting hypovolemia may be attributed to compensatory mechanisms such as tachycardia and vasoconstriction induced by neurohormonal and neurohumoral responses to volume loss. These physiological changes reduce IVC diameter and, according to the Bernoulli principle, increase blood flow velocity. In our study, although heart rate decreased and IVC diameter increased over time, IVC peak velocity demonstrated an upward trend (although not statistically significant), which may reflect the intravascular volume expansion provided by fluid resuscitation. However, delayed neurohormonal and neurohumoral responses in the acute phase may have limited this relationship.[23]
Although IVC diameter and the collapsibility index are widely used in emergency practice, recent literature has highlighted significant limitations of these methods, including controversies regarding the optimal measurement site and concerns about their reliability. In our study, when we compared IVC diameter and collapsibility measurements with SVV as the reference test, their predictive value for identifying hypovolemia was found to be insufficient [Table 4]. Contributing factors include age related changes in vascular elasticity, the ellipsoid anatomical structure of the IVC, the accuracy of the ultrasonographic measurement site, right and left heart dysfunction, and cardiac arrhythmias. These limitations have been discussed in previous studies by Di Nicolò et al., Biasucci et al., and Tedaldi et al. [5,18,24] Despite employing broad exclusion criteria to minimize such confounders, our results still indicated that IVC diameter and the collapsibility index are inadequate for identifying hypovolemia.
Furthermore, IVC peak velocity measurements were repeated at the 30th and 60th min and after fluid replacement. When these values were compared with SVV and IVC groups at the corresponding time points, no statistically significant differences were observed. Based on these results, we believe that CW Doppler derived IVC peak velocity measurement may have limited utility in monitoring intravascular volume status. Despite administering an average of 1123 ± 605 mL of total fluids (43 ± 22.5% of which was erythrocyte suspension), no statistically significant change was observed in shock index measurements. This is attributable to ongoing GI bleeding, suggesting that fluid resuscitation was suboptimal. Consequently, IVC peak velocity measurements may not have adequately reflected the expected changes in volume status during monitoring. Therefore, further studies with more appropriate resuscitation strategies, hemorrhage control, and larger sample sizes are warranted. In addition, SVV measured by electrical velocimetry is the surrogate reference test we use to assess intravascular volume status. Therefore, the relationship between IVC peak velocity and SVV may indicate a possible physiological link rather than reflecting absolute diagnostic accuracy. This limitation of the reference test is also a possible reason for the lack of significant results in serial measurements.
The small number of cases within SVR subgroups limited the statistical power of our study. Nonetheless, the upward trend observed in SVR, particularly after the 30th min, may be explained by vascular filling associated with fluid replacement and the onset of a vasoconstriction response.
Other hemodynamic parameters obtained through noninvasive monitoring (FTc, TFC, SV, CO, and CI) did not show statistically significant differences. This may be attributed to the small sample size, preserved cardiac function of the patients, insufficient fluid resuscitation, and ongoing bleeding.
Limitations
Although our study achieved the required population size based on power analysis, it was conducted on a relatively small sample compared to existing literature.
The study population consisted of patients with suspected hypovolemia due to acute GI bleeding and did not include a true normovolemic control group. This makes it impossible to demonstrate the diagnostic performance of IVC peak flow velocity between hypovolemic and normovolemic patients.
SVV obtained from an electrical velocimetry device was used as a surrogate reference test, although it is not a validated gold standard for assessing intravascular volume in spontaneously breathing ED patients or in the context of active hemorrhage.
Ongoing bleeding during the study period may have influenced serial hemodynamic measurements, potentially masking true physiological responses to transfusion. The timing of the postreplacement measurement was recorded as occurring immediately after transfusion, but no standardized time interval was applied, which may have contributed to variability.
The small sample size resulted in wide CIs, particularly for specificity estimates, and limits the statistical power to detect meaningful differences in serial measurements.
Finally, this was a single center pilot study conducted in a specific clinical population; the generalizability of the findings is limited, and larger, controlled studies using validated reference standards are required to determine the true diagnostic value of IVC peak velocity.
Conclusion
In this prospective pilot study of patients presenting with suspected acute GI bleeding, IVC peak blood flow velocity measured by CW Doppler demonstrated a significant association with SVV defined volume deficit at admission, whereas conventional IVC measurements showed limited discriminatory value. However, the study design does not allow assessment of the ability of peak velocity to distinguish hypovolemia from true normovolemia, as all enrolled patients were clinically suspected to have intravascular volume loss.
Serial Doppler and ultrasonographic measurements did not reliably track changes during transfusion, likely influenced by ongoing bleeding, variable clinical responses, and the use of SVV as a surrogate reference standard. Therefore, the clinical role of IVC peak velocity in dynamic volume monitoring remains uncertain.
Overall, IVC peak velocity may serve as a supplementary parameter for assessing volume deficit at presentation among patients with suspected GI bleeding, but its diagnostic value should be interpreted cautiously. Further studies, including normovolemic controls, validated reference standards, and standardized resuscitation protocols, are required to clarify its potential utility in emergency settings.
How to cite this article: Büyüktaş OC, Özlüer YE, Savaş AM, Dinçer E. Inferior vena cava peak velocity versus collapsibility index to predict volume status in patients with gastrointestinal bleeding: A pilot study. Turk J Emerg Med 2026;26:288-95.
The study was conducted with the approval of the Aydın Adnan Menderes University Faculty of Medicine Noninvasive Clinical Research Ethics Committee. (Date: 11/10/2023, Decision No: 2023/174).
YEÖ: Formal analysis (equal); Project administration (lead); writing – original draft (lead); writing – review and editing (equal). YEÖ, OCB: Conceptualization, Methodology. AMS, OCB, ED: writing – original draft (equal). YEÖ: Formal analysis (equal); Methodology (lead). AMS, OCB, ED: Investigation (equal); Writing – original draft (supporting). YEÖ, OCB, AMS, ED: Investigation (equal); Writing – review and editing (equal).
None Declared.
This study was supported by the Aydın Adnan Menderes University Scientific Research Projects Coordination Unit (Project No: TPF‑23052).
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